Sterling Fell Against the Dollar Due to Possible National Lockdowns 

The Sterling fell against the safe-haven dollar amidst the return of national lockdowns in Europe.  

Versus the Euro, the pound was up 0.18% at 90.33. 

The ECB kept its policy unchanged, resisting pressure to introduce fresh stimulus amid a surge of coronavirus cases across Europe, but hinted at providing more support in December. 

While the rise against the euro was influenced by the ECB meeting, cable dynamics is “much more a function of risk appetite,” said Jeremy Stretch, head of G10 FX Strategy at CIBC. 

Versus a stronger dollar, the pound was at $1.2915, down 0.5% on the day, after earlier falling to a 10-day low of $1.2901 as risk aversion swept markets this week. 

With rising infections threatening to overwhelm Europe within weeks, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel ordered their countries back into lockdown. 

In the meantime, Britain’s house minister, Robert Jenrick, said a second national lockdown in the country is not inevitable. He added that Britain, the country with the largest number of coronavirus deaths in Europe, will do everything it can to avoid a new national lockdown. 

However, Steven Riley, author of an Imperial College study into the spread of the disease, said more drastic lockdown restrictions should be brought in sooner rather than later in Britain as a new study showed cases in England are doubling every nine days. 

Positive COVID-19 cases in England rose 23% on the previous week, statistics published by the country’s test and trace scheme showed. 

With Britain and European Union having just two months to reach a post-Brexit trade agreement before a status-quo transition period ends on Dec. 31, reports on the negotiations have been a key driver for sterling over the past few months. But analysts said a slowdown in the Brexit-related  news flow this week was supportive for the currency. 

The lack of Brexit  news flow  this week probably means that UK-EU negotiations are already in the tunnel – a good sign for a deal,” wrote ING strategists in a note to clients, referring to the final stretch of secretive, make-or-break negotiations.”  

Technical Outlook 


In the daily charts of GBP/USD, the pair edged up Friday morning in Sydney Session. 

The GBP/USD pair inched up 0.07% to 1.2936. The U.K. and the European Union (EU) continue to work towards reaching a post-Brexit trade agreement by the end of the year. 

As what we can see in the daily charts of GBP/USD, the pair is still trading inside the range of support and resistance levels. With the growing uncertainties of the U.S. Presidential Elections that will surely bring volatility to the U.S. dollar next week, the sterling may expect gains but the euro zone and U.K. particularly is also experiencing their own adversities such as the resurgence of Covid-19. Taking trades with this pair should be taken with pre-caution.  

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